This Economic Indicator Just Confirmed We Are In A Recession & Headed For A Disaster – Episode 1231

This Economic Indicator Just Confirmed We Are In A Recession & Headed For A Disaster

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Something strange happened with consumer confidence, democrats see a recession coming and republicans see growth.  Atlanta Fed and NY Fed clash on GDP estimates. Someone just sold 1.3 billion worth of apple stock. This economic indicator just confirmed that we are in a recession and headed for a disaster. The deep state / central bank has begun its attack on Trump. NY Assemblyman push law to control free speech. White House allegedly apologizes to England about the reference of British spy agency spying on Trump. Former CIA office says they are trained to lie. FISA court granted a warrant to check out Trumps server and the Russian banks server. Laptop was stolen with Clinton’s email investigation and plans for Trump Tower. Russian banks says communication between Trump server and their bank has started once again. Russia receives no request about the Yahoo hacking. SWIFT messaging to NK banks have been shutdown. Tillerson says ready to get into a conflict with NK. South Korea prepares for an operation against NK in April. NATO  ships enter the Black Sea. Syria makes claim that they shot down an Israeli jet, IDF says no jet was hit. The world is one poke away from a major disaster.

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Current News – 03.17.2017


Consumer Confidence: Democrats Expect “Deep Recession”, Republicans Look To New Golden Age 

  • UMich consumer confidence rose in the preliminary March print, beating expectations at 97.6 with current conditions surging but expectations stalling somewhat.


  •  among Democrats, the Expectations Index at 55.3 signaled that a deep recession was imminent, while among Republicans the Index at 122.4 indicated a new era of robust economic growth was ahead.

Atlanta Fed vs NY Fed: Whose GDP Forecast Is Right?


  • This is also critically important as one is showing a robust 3.2% growth reading, while the other is at 0.9% (the 2nd lowest reading in nearly 3-years) and essentially indicates that we are descending towards recession. 

[NOTE – NOWCAST just downgraded their forecast dramatically from 3.19% to 2.83%]


 New York Assemblyman Unveils Bill To Suppress Non-Government-Approved Free Speech

  • In a bill aimed at securing a “right to be forgotten,” introduced by Assemblyman David I. Weprin and (as Senate Bill 4561 by state Sen. Tony Avella), liberal New York politicians would require people to remove ‘inaccurate,’ ‘irrelevant,’ ‘inadequate’ or ‘excessive’ statements about others
  • Within 30 days of a ”request from an individual,”
  • “all search engines and online speakers] shall remove … content about such individual, and links or indexes to any of the same, that is ‘inaccurate’, ‘irrelevant’, ‘inadequate’ or ‘excessive,’ ”
  • “and without replacing such removed … content with any disclaimer [or] takedown notice.”
  • “ ‘[I]naccurate’, ‘irrelevant’, ‘inadequate’, or ‘excessive’ shall mean content,”
  • “which after a significant lapse in time from its first publication,”
  • “is no longer material to current public debate or discourse,”
  • “especially when considered in light of the financial, reputational and/or demonstrable other harm that the information … is causing to the requester’s professional, financial, reputational or other interest,”
  • Failure to comply would make the search engines or speakers liable for, at least, statutory damages of $250/day plus attorney fees.
  • under this bill, newspapers, scholarly works, copies of books on Google Books and Amazon, online encyclopedias (Wikipedia and others) — all would have to be censored whenever a judge and jury found (or the author expected them to find) that the speech was “no longer material to current public debate or discourse”
  • And of course the bill contains no exception even for material of genuine historical interest;
  • But the deeper problem with the bill is simply that it aims to censor what people say, under a broad, vague test based on what the government thinks the public should or shouldn’t be discussing. 


White House Makes Formal Apology To Britain Over Spying Accusation

  • British spy agency slammed the White House for Sean Spicer’s claim, made first on Tuesday by Fox News’ judge Andrew Napolitano, that the UK’s spy agency GCHQ had helped Trump spy on Obama, calling it claim “utterly ridiculous”, the US has made a formal apology to Britain, the Telegraph and Sky News reported.
  • Intelligence sources told The Telegraph that both Mr Spicer and General McMaster, the US National Security Adviser, have apologised over the claims.The apology came direct from them,” a source said.  General McMaster contacted Sir Mark Lyall Grant, the Prime Minister’s National Security adviser, to apologise for the comments. Mr Spicer conveyed his apology through Sir Kim Darroch, Britain’s US ambassador.
  • The intelligence organisation took the unusual step of responding by saying: “Recent allegations made by media commentator Judge Andrew Napolitano about GCHQ being asked to conduct ‘wiretapping’ against the then president-elect are nonsense. “They are utterly ridiculous and should be ignored.”

The spokesman added that it would be impossible for GCHQ to spy on Mr Trump as both countries are members of the Five Eyes alliance

The Five Eyes alliance is a secretive, global surveillance arrangement of States comprised of the United States National Security Agency (NSA), the United Kingdom’s Government Communications Headquarters(GCHQ), Canada’s Communications Security Establishment Canada (CSEC), the Australian Signals Directorate (ASD), and New Zealand’s Government Communications Security Bureau (GCSB).

Here’s what we do know: under the agreement interception, collection, acquisition, analysis, and decryption is conducted by each of the State parties in their respective parts of the globe, and all intelligence information is shared by default. The agreement is wide in scope and establishes jointly-run operations centres where operatives from multiple intelligence agencies of the Five Eyes States work alongside each other.

Together the Five Eyes collaborated and developed specific technical programmes of collection and analysis. One senior member of Britain’s intelligence community said “When you get a GCHQ pass it gives you access to the NSA too. You can walk into the NSA and find GCHQ staff holding senior management positions, and vice versa. When the NSA has a piece of intelligence, it will very often ask GCHQ for a second opinion. There have been ups and downs over the years, of course. But in general, the NSA and GCHQ are extremely close allies. They rely on each other.”

Despite rumours of a “no-spy pact”, there is no prohibition on intelligence-gathering by Five Eyes States on the citizens or residents of other Five Eyes States, although there is a general understanding that citizens will not be directly targeted and where communications are incidentally intercepted there will be an effort to minimize the use and analysis of such communications by the intercepting State.

Amazing.  The whole point of 5 Eyes is exactly what they calling “impossible”; to work together and share information against all targets foreign and domestic.

This goes way beyond the big lie technique.  It’s like saying that water is wet so it can’t possibly make things damp. 

And where is the “formal” part of all this?  A backchannel phone call rumor from “unnamed sources” is not fucking “formal”.  In fact, it’s unsourced competely.  More GCHQ chicanery.


Former CIA officer: All CIA agents taught to lie – primary mission is to protect the agency

  • CIA officials have loyalty to the agency above the Constitution? Most recently, former CIA counterterrorism officer John Kiriakou penned a piece in which he made clear that is is highly likely that elements of the intelligence community are targeting Donald Trump whether you like his politics or not. Keep in mind that Kiriakou spent 23 months in prison for attempting to expose the Bush torture program, a fact that clearly shows he is no partisan Trump supporter.Kiriakou writes, “Is it so hard to believe that there are elements of the government that don’t like the fact that Trump is rocking their boat or not allowing them primacy in policymaking, a status they enjoyed under both Obama and Bush? As Intercept columnist Glenn Greenwald noted, disliking and distrusting Trump and disliking and distrusting the CIA are not mutually exclusive.
  • One of the things that most observers don’t understand is that the CIA will do anything – anything – to survive. All CIA officers are taught to lie. They lie all the time, about everything, to everybody. And they justify it by trying to convince themselves that they are doing it in the national interest, for national security.From my very first day in the CIA, it was drilled into me, as it is into every other employee, that “the primary mission is to protect the Agency.
  • Remember, all government employees swear an oath to uphold and defend the Constitution yet despite this the CIA apparently trains their employees to protect the agency above all else.Kiriakou finishes his piece by clearly showing that elements within the FBI and the NSA also conduct illegal activities and would seem to have no problem targeting a sitting president if he was perceived to be going after their interests.So when you see reports published by the likes of the Associated Press that claim that Trump “believes” the deep state is targeting him, remember, the CIA teaches its agents to lie, lie, lie and the mainstream media is only too happy to help them do so.


EXCLUSIVE: FBI ‘Granted FISA Warrant’ Covering Trump Camp’s Ties To Russia

  • Two separate sources with links to the counter-intelligence community have confirmed to Heat Street that the FBI sought, and was granted, a FISA court warrant in October, giving counter-intelligence permission to examine the activities of ‘U.S. persons’ in Donald Trump’s campaign with ties to Russia.
  • Contrary to earlier reporting in the New York Times, which cited FBI sources as saying that the agency did not believe that the private server in Donald Trump’s Trump Tower which was connected to a Russian bank had any nefarious purpose, the FBI’s counter-intelligence arm, sources say, re-drew an earlier FISA court request around possible financial and banking offenses related to the server. The first request, which, sources say, named Trump, was denied back in June, but the second was drawn more narrowly and was granted in October after evidence was presented of a server, possibly related to the Trump campaign, and its alleged links to two banks; SVB Bank and Russia’s Alfa Bank. 
  • The FISA warrant was granted in connection with the investigation of suspected activity between the server and two banks,
  • Bradley P. Moss is a national security lawyer. He told us:

If a FISA warrant was issued, it does not necessarily mean that the court considered any U.S. persons as literal ‘spies.’ I can imagine an argument having been made that there was probable cause to believe they were “agents of influence” who were unwittingly being influenced by a foreign power.

If the operation concerns suspected money laundering involving a foreign government, the FISA warrant could theoretically encompass U.S. persons in that limited context. A FISA warrant is authorization to collect evidence, not to arrest.


Laptop With “Highly Sensitive” Trump Data, Clinton Email Probe Info Stolen From Secret Service Agent

  •  a laptop computer containing information about the Hillary Clinton email investigation, as well as floor plans for Trump Tower and other national security information, was stolen from a Secret Service agent’s vehicle in Brooklyn.
  • The secret service agent reported the laptop contained floor plans for Trump Tower, evacuation protocols and information regarding the investigation of Hillary Clinton’s private email server. The agent also told investigators that while nothing about the White House or foreign leaders is stored on the laptop, the information on there could compromise national security.
  • The thief also took “sensitive” documents and the agent’s access keycard, though the level of the agent’s access wasn’t immediately clear.


Russian bank tells DOJ mysterious Trump computer connections may have been hacker hoax

  • A Russian bank has reported to U.S. authorities that mysterious communications resumed recently between one of its computers and an email server tied to President Trump’s business empire, and it has developed evidence the new activity may be the work of a hacker trying to create a political hoax
  • Alfa Bank is asking the U.S. Justice Department for help solving the mystery and pledged its full cooperation.
  • Alfa wants U.S. authorities to help unmask a computer inside the United States that it believes has been used to launch cyberattacks spoofing the appearance of a backdoor communication channel between Moscow and America’s 45th president, according to a source directly familiar with the bank’s request.
  • Like a return address
  • The attacks attempted to trigger verification signals between Alfa Bank and a server associated with the Trump Organization, the source said.
  • The source said the spoofing attempt is equivalent to someone in the U.S. sending an empty envelope to the Trump Towers but putting on the envelope a return address in Russia, causing the Trump server to falsely return the communication back to Moscow.


Geopolitical/Police State

Kremlin receives no official charges against FSB over Yahoo hacking attack

  • The Kremlin has not received any official notices about accusations brought against operatives of the Federal Security Service (FSB) for their alleged role in organizing hacker attacks on the Yahoo search engine, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Friday.


  • Two publicly-funded websites used by Dutch voters to help them decide which party to vote for in their national election were inaccessible on Wednesday
  •  most voters use them in the weeks ahead of voting, not on election day.
  • Organizers of Stemwijzer tweeted confirmation that their website was being subjected to a distributed denial-of-service, or ‘DDoS’ attack.
  • “We’re seeing a lot of international traffic. What happens is we are able to solve the problem for a while, and then it resurfaces,” spokeswoman  said.
  • The “StemWijzer” or “voting compass” site asks potential voters 30 questions and then tells them which party best matches their opinions.
  • In January, the Dutch government decided that all votes in the election would be hand-counted, after the intelligence agency warned foreign governments could attempt to influence elections by hacking computer systems.



SWIFT Messaging System Cuts off Remaining North Korean Banks

  • SWIFT, the inter-bank messaging network which is the backbone of international finance, said it planned to cut off the remaining North Korean banks still connected to its system, as concerns about the country’s nuclear program and missile tests grow.
  • SWIFT said the four remaining banks on the network would be disconnected for failing to meet its operating criteria.


“Military Action Is On The Table”: Tillerson Warns “Patience” With North Korea Has Ended

  • Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said in South Korea  that military action would be “on the table” if North Korea elevated the threat level.  Tillerson said. “Let me be very clear: the policy of strategic patience has ended. We are exploring a new range of security and diplomatic measures. All options are on the table,” 


Russian senator warns US withdrawal from talks on North Korea could be disastrous

  •  US Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley said that the US does not “want to get back into the six-party talks” involving South Korea, North Korea, the US, China, Japan and Russia. “We’re not willing to do that. Been there, done that.”


South Korea, US Military Chiefs Talk Possible North’s Provocations in April

  •  The chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Joseph Dunford and his South Korean counterpart Gen. Sun Jin-lee discussed on Thursday the likelihood of North Korea engaging in vexing actions that coincide with a US and South Korea’s training exercise and nK political events in April,
  • “The chairmen recognized the possibility that North Korea could conduct provocative actions during the Key Resolve, Foal Eagle exercise,


Putin Prepares For Invasion of Europe With Massive Cuts to Military Spending

Figures released by the Russian Federal Treasury have confirmed that Russia’s defence budget has been cut by 25.5% for 2017, falling from RUB3.8 trillion (USD65.4 billion) to RUB2.8 trillion.

The reduction represents the largest cut to military expenditure in the country since the early 1990s.


4 NATO warships arrive in Black Sea Port of Odessa, Ukraine, to stay until April 20 (VIDEO)

  • Four NATO warships have entered the Port of Odessa,   .According to the statement from the Ukrainian Navy, the ships will stay in Odessa until April 20. During their visit, the crew and commanders will meet with the command of the Ukrainian Navy, the heads of the Odessa Regional State Administration, and the Odessa City Council.

We’ll Blow Your Mind”: Turkey Threatens Europe With “15,000 Refugees Per Month” 

  • Earlier this week, at the peak of the latest diplomatic scandal between Turkey and the Netherlands, Ankara’s deputy prime minister Numan Kurtulmus announced not only a round of sanctions aimed at the Dutch but exclaimed that since “Europe has not kept its promises on the migrant deal, for us that agreement has ended” to which we commented that “one year after it collected $3 billion for the migrant deal, Turkey has just voided the agreement, and the next step would be that Turkey is about to flood Europe with refugees currently held inside Turkish borders. And since by some estimates Turkey currently harbors over 2 million potential migrants, Europe’s refugee situation is about to get far worse,


Syrian Army Claims It Shot Down Israeli Jet After Raid Near Palmyra 

  • The Syrian Army said Israeli warplanes targeted Syrian army positions and hit a “military target” near Palmyra in a Friday morning raid, in what it described as an act of aggression that aided Islamic State. In retaliation the jets were targeted by Syrian anti-aircraft missiles with one of the Israeli fight planes shot down.
  • According to a statement by the Syrian Army, a total of four Israeli jets breached Syrian airspace on Friday morning, Reuters reports. Syria’s air defenses shot down one of the Israeli jets over “occupied ground” and damaged another.
  • The Israeli Army confirmed it had conducted airstrikes on several targets in Syria, Israel National News reported. However, as usual the IDF insists that none of the jets was harmed.


  • The Syrian government has warned against an imminent disaster in the wake of airstrikes by the US-led military coalition against purported Daesh-held areas close to the Euphrates and Tishrin dams, urging UN Secretary General to compel the coalition to stop the raids.

“The total destruction of these dams that are being targeted by the airstrikes will wash away and flood cities, towns and villages, endangering the lives of hundreds of thousands of people living in those areas,” Mounzer wrote.


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