Housing Bubble Symmetry: Look Out Below – 09.13.17


  • Housing markets are one itsy-bitsy recession away from a collapse in domestic and foreign demand by marginal buyers.
  • There are two attractive delusions that are ever-present in financial markets:One is this time it’s different, because of unique conditions that have never ever manifested before in the history of the world, and the second is there are no cycles, they are illusions created by cherry-picked data; furthermore, markets are now completely controlled by central banks so cycles have vanished.
  • While it’s easy to see why these delusions are attractive, let’s take a look at a widely used measure of the U.S. housing market, the Case-Shiller Index:

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Source: charleshughsmith.blogspot.com