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What If Trump Is Keeping The Strait Closed To Fight The True Enemy? It’s About Leverage – Ep. 3870

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Trump is transforming the economic landscape. The [DS]/[CB] were planning on removing oil, nuclear and coal to push the green new scam. Trump has changed it all up and without the US pushing this agenda they are now seeing they are in trouble. Trump is using this to lower oil prices by setting the oil free in Venezuela, Iran and Russia.  The [DS] and the fake news are panicking, Trump is not doing on what they planned on for years. They were planning on a ground invasion into Iran, they made Iran prepare for this. Trump is not invading Iran he is taking control over the [DS]/[CB] control over energy, shipping and the choke points they created. It’s all about leverage.

 

Economy

  •  Expect a $0.50–1.50/gallon national average drop within 1–2 months as refined products flow. US natural gas is more insulated domestically (less direct Hormuz tie), but global LNG stabilization would ease export/price pressure.
  • Longer-term (months to 2027+): Prices could settle even lower than pre-crisis (~$50–80 range possible)  
    • Gulf producers ramp back fast (though some field damage/shut-ins from the war could delay full output by weeks).
    • US “energy dominance” (record domestic production ~13+ million bpd, Trump policies favoring drilling) floods the market.
    • No ongoing risk premium + DFC-style backstops could make Hormuz shipping cheaper/safer long-term.
    • Global demand response (higher prices already curbing some use) + potential OPEC+ cuts to balance.
By October 2026 in this expanded scenario (Hormuz fully secured under US control, Iran neutralized as a threat, DFC insurance enabling unrestricted shipping, plus full removal of Russian oil sanctions allowing Russia to sell freely worldwide), the national average regular gasoline price would likely settle in the $2.40–$2.65/gallon range—most probably around $2.50–$2.55.
Period
Oil (Brent approx.)
Gas Price (national avg)
Notes
Pre-crisis (Feb 2026)
~$65–$75
~$2.98
Baseline
Now (late Mar 2026)
$100–$115+
$3.80–$3.98
Crisis spike
Immediate post-Hormuz resolution (May–June)
$70–$85
$2.90–$3.20
Fast unwind
October 2026 (Hormuz-only)
$60–$75
$2.70–$2.90
Previous estimate
October 2026 (full scenario + Russia sanctions removed)
$50–$70
$2.40–$2.65
Stronger glut + efficiencies
Period
Oil (Brent approx.)
Gas Price (national avg)
Notes
Pre-crisis (Feb 2026)
~$65–$75
~$2.98
Baseline
Now (late Mar 2026)
$100–$115+
$3.80–$3.98
Crisis spike
Immediate post-Hormuz resolution (May–June)
$70–$85
$2.90–$3.20
Fast unwind
October 2026 (Hormuz-only)
$60–$75
$2.70–$2.90
Prior estimate
October 2026 (+ Russia sanctions removed)
$50–$70
$2.40–$2.65
Previous estimate
October 2026 (full scenario + Venezuela)
$45–$65
$2.25–$2.50
Strongest glut
Area
Retail price (incl. taxes)
Pre-tax price (excl. taxes)
Notes
National average
$2.10–$2.35 (most likely ~$2.20)
$1.58–$1.83 (~$1.63–$1.73)
Full glut effect
Lowest state (Oklahoma)
$1.95–$2.10 (~$2.00–$2.05)
$1.57–$1.72 (~$1.62–$1.67)
Still #1 or tied #1 even pre-tax
Kansas / Texas / Louisiana
$1.95–$2.15
$1.58–$1.75
Very close behind
  When prices at the pump drop:
  • It directly lowers headline inflation.
  • It frees up consumer spending (households spend less on gas, more on other goods/services), which can support growth without overheating.
  • It reduces cost pressures on businesses (transport, manufacturing, agriculture), helping keep broader price increases in check.

  Lower fuel prices would therefore align with Trump’s goals and could indirectly strengthen his public case for easier monetary policy.   

War/Peace

  was told is the obvious. Security guarantees are not gonna kick in until there’s an end to a war, because otherwise you’re in, you’re getting yourself involved in the war. Okay? What is a security guarantee? It is troops that are willing to step in and secure. If you put that in place now, that means you’re injecting yourself in the war. What he was told very clearly, and he should have understood it, is that the security guarantees come only after there is an end to the war. But that was not attached to unless he gives up territory. I don’t know why he says these things. They’re just not true.

 

Report: Why Does the UK Appease Tehran Despite the Dangers to Itself?  

  •  Why has the government of the United Kingdom pursued a policy of appeasement towards the Islamic Regime of Iran – no matter which party was resident in Downing Street – over the past 47 years despite the multitude of attacks committed by the Islamic Regime against UK citizens and institutions? After Tehran fired a missile at the UK-US base on the Indian Ocean island of Diego Garcia, proving incidentally that the appeasers were wrong to state that Iran did not have the capacity to strike at Europe, one Iranian analyst produced a video offering an explanation – the UK has been earning money from dealings with the Islamic Regime.
  • Rhum Gas Field – The UK Earns Money Keeping Iran Sanctioned
    During the 1970s, when under the Shah’s leadership the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) not only regained control of Iran’s oil resources (in 1973) but also began oil exploration in other parts of the world in partnership with other oil companies, NIOC began drilling in the North Sea with British Petroleum (BP). In 1977, they discovered the Rhum natural gas field and agreed to share ownership 50-50. For technical reasons, it was not profitable to actually begin producing gas until 2005. In 2010, when the European Union placed sanctions on Tehran due to the Islamic Regime’s nuclear program, gas production was suspended. Three years later, however, Parliament passed a law allowing BP to resume production with the 50 percent that is Iran’s share of the profits held in escrow – minus “management fees” and what BP considered what would have “Iran’s share of production costs.” By the time sanctions were removed in 2016, £26 million of Iranian funds were earning interest for UK banks, including the £1.1 million in management fees.

 

  • In 2018, sanctions were reimposed on Tehran and BP sold its half of the Rhum field to Serica Energy. Iran’s share of the earnings were reassigned to a Jersey trust supposedly not tied to Tehran – the Channel Islands are, incidentally, notorious hotspots of both tax evasion and money laundering – and by 2022, increased production and higher prices led to Rhum earning £1.2 million a day. Total data for earnings until 2026 are unavailable but the numbers indicate that the UK has earned quite a bit from Iran’s being controlled by an internationally rogue regime.

Source: thegatewaypundit.com

 of building extensive “missile cities” — vast networks of underground tunnels, storage halls, and launch facilities carved deep into mountain ranges. Many of these hardened sites sit beneath hundreds of feet (in some cases reportedly up to around 500 meters) of dense granite and reinforced concrete, explicitly designed to survive aerial bombardment and preserve a second-strike capability. As a result, even after heavy strikes that have destroyed numerous surface launchers, production facilities, and exposed infrastructure, a significant portion of the arsenal could potentially remain recoverable or extractable over time.

The campaign has delivered a major blow: Iran’s missile and drone launch rate has plummeted dramatically (reports indicate drops of 90% or more in some phases), but it has not eliminated the threat outright. Instead, it has sharply reduced Iran’s ability to sustain large-scale barrages, effectively pausing rather than ending the missile danger for the foreseeable future. In practical terms, while entrances, ventilation systems, and mobile launchers emerging from the complexes have been repeatedly targeted, fully neutralizing deeply buried stockpiles inside reinforced mountain facilities remains extremely difficult with conventional munitions.

Again, the underground architecture was built precisely for this kind of resilience, meaning the program has been severely degraded and disrupted—but not annihilated.

 

 

 ecosystem for decades. Every jet needs American parts, software updates, and maintenance. Saudi Arabia was exploring Chinese military hardware before this deal. That door is effectively closed now. For Iran, the long-term implications are devastating. The Gulf’s most powerful military will eventually operate a stealth fighter that can penetrate any air defense Tehran could build

  warfare, Washington quietly perfected the counter — not improvisation, but decades of cold-blooded planning born from the lessons of Millennium Challenge ’02. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, far from being a shock, triggered a machine that’s been waiting to activate since 1979. America’s war plan was preloaded, refined through every drone war and naval skirmish since. What Iran thought would be a slow-bleeding quagmire became Operation Epic Fury — a symphony of pre-scripted dominance executed with meme-fueled precision and Trump-era audacity. Iran trained for a guerrilla ambush. America rehearsed for a generational chess match. The result? Tehran is playing checkers on a digital battlefield designed by people who already solved this puzzle twenty years ago — and saved the answer file.     The takeaway: Iran built an asymmetric trap. America not only saw it coming — it built the cheat code to beat it.

 hundred of them at the USS Abraham Lincoln, with a 100% failure rate.

Think about what Trump is saying, he can take the strait at any time, but by doing this which enemy is Trump fighting

 

The Hormuz Hypothesis – What If the U.S. Navy Isn’t in a Hurry to Reopen the Strait? 

  • By Captain John Konrad (Opinion)  
  •  
  • “I wonder what would happen if we “finished off” what’s left of the Iranian Terror State, and let the Countries that use it, we don’t, be responsible for the so called Strait?” wrote President Trump in a psot this morning. “That would get some of our non-responsive “Allies” in gear, and fast!!!”
  • The Insurance Kill Switch
  • When the seven P&I clubs belonging to the International Group issued 72-hour cancellation notices for war risk coverage in the Persian Gulf on March 5, they did not just raise costs. They made transit impossible.
  • P&I clubs insure roughly 90 percent of the world’s ocean-going tonnage. Without their coverage, ships cannot sail. Port authorities will not let them dock. Banks will not finance the cargo. Charterers will not book the vessel. The entire system, from loading berth to discharge terminal, is underwritten by a chain of contracts that begins with a club in London, Oslo, or Tokyo. When the clubs pulled war risk extensions, that chain broke. Not for a few ships. For the global fleet.
  • Then Trump did something that almost nobody in the press understood.
  • He ordered the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation to create a $20 billion maritime reinsurance facility, with Chubb as lead underwriter, making the United States government the insurer of last resort for Gulf shipping. A sovereign nation positioned itself as the backstop for war risk insurance on the world’s most critical maritime chokepoint. The DFC facility, coordinated with US Central Command and Treasury, offers hull, machinery, and cargo coverage on a rolling basis to eligible vessels.
  • The United States now controls the on/off switch for the Strait of Hormuz. Not through naval firepower. Through insurance.
  • Read the latest MARAD advisory carefully: U.S.-flagged, owned, or crewed commercial vessels operating in these areas should maintain a minimum standoff of 30 nautical miles from U.S. military vessels.
  • And read this part of the DFC announcement again… “coordinated with US Central Command.”
  • They cannot pass without the Navy permission.
  • The green light has not appeared.
  • To understand why this matters, you need to understand what Trump built and what was destroyed.
  • Trump came into his second term determined to restore American maritime power. He assembled the greatest collection of maritime minds in key government positions since Nixon. He put Mike Waltz, creator of the SHIPS for America Act, as head of the National Security Council. He created a Maritime Office in the White House. He appointed maritime advocates to key positions throughout the administration. He signed a sweeping Maritime Executive Order in April 2025 directing a Maritime Action Plan across Defense, State, Transportation, and Homeland Security.
  • He started targeting chokepoints: Panama, the Red Sea, Suez, the Greenland-UK Gap. He launched investigations into Gibraltar and Spain. He created USTR actions to tariff Chinese-built and operated ships. He called CMA CGM’s CEO Rodolphe Saadé to the Oval Office and secured a $20 billion commitment to American maritime investment.
  •  connect the dots.
  • Strike Iran, and Europe either bends or goes dark in an energy crisis.
  • The European shipping community and political establishment spent the past year dismissing, undermining, and mocking every Trump maritime initiative. They scoffed at the USTR tariffs. They laughed at the SHIPS Act. They blocked the IMO exemptions. They refused to take American maritime policy seriously.
  • Now their energy supply runs through an insurance facility controlled by Washington.
  • “Let their navies figure it out.” Except everyone knows they cannot. European naval forces are too small, too slow, and too poorly equipped for sustained convoy escort operations through a contested strait. All the European navies combined could not send more than three ships at a time to defend the Red Sea. An entire German task force sailed around Africa to avoid it.
  • Eventually Europe will have to capitulate to get the U.S. Navy, and the U.S. insurance backstop, to fully reopen the Strait.
  • What does “capitulate” look like? The IMO carbon tax. Greenland. Tariff concessions. The SHIPS Act. Every maritime policy priority that Europe and China have been blocking for the past year.
  • The last time the U.S. Navy escorted tankers through Hormuz was Operation Earnest Will during the Iran-Iraq Tanker War in 1987-88. Foreign tankers that wanted U.S. Navy protection had to reflag into the U.S. registry. Kuwaiti supertankers flew the American flag to get American escorts.
  • Trump has already said the Navy will escort ships through Hormuz “if necessary.” If the same reflagging requirement applies, every European and Asian tanker that wants a U.S. escort would need to fly the American flag.
  • Think about what that means for the SHIPS Act, the Jones Act, the U.S. flag fleet, and CMA CGM’s unfulfilled promise to triple its U.S.-flag vessels, Greenland. Hormuz becomes the forcing function for everything Trump’s maritime agenda could not achieve through legislation or diplomacy.
  • Meanwhile, Iran is selectively letting ships through. Turkish, Indian, Chinese, and some Saudi tankers have been permitted to transit via Iranian territorial waters. About eighteen tankers, mostly Chinese, have done so according to Lloyd’s. Western-allied ships are blocked.
  • The “closure” is really a sorting mechanism. Iran decides who trades and who does not. Unless the U.S. Navy reopens it for everyone. On America’s terms.That’s the decision the world has to make, let Iran pull up a tollbooth or stop blocking Trump’s maritime plans.
  •  While TV oil analysts focus on the global price of oil, the real experts in Houston are watching something different: the fracturing of the global energy market.
  • The real threat is not $200 oil. It’s a fracture of the system. It is cheap energy in export nations and ruinous energy costs in places far from reserves. It’s $2 oil in the Persain Gulf, $20 dollar oil in the Gulf of America and $2,000 oil in the UK.
  • One global price only works if there is a surplus of tankers to arbitrage differentials. Before the Iran strikes, that surplus was razor-thin. Now, with supertankers stuck in the Gulf, it is gone.
  • Tankers charge by the day, so long-haul routes become comparatively more expensive. Venezuelan crude on short Gulf runs becomes far cheaper for U.S. refiners than Middle Eastern crude routed around the Cape of Good Hope for European or Asian buyers.
  • Look at what the Navy is doing. Or rather, not doing.
  • The U.S. Navy is in no rush to solve this problem. They are methodically, deliberately, taking their time. Army battalions are not mobilizing. The Marines called in from Japan are slow-steaming across the Pacific; it could be weeks until they are ready. Minesweepers are still far from the battlespace. Carriers are slowly rotating, not surging.
  • Someone at the top told them to take their time. That signal has to be coming from the White House.
  • Every day, approximately 1,000 trapped vessels are not available for charter. Every day, European energy dependence deepens. Every day, the DFC reinsurance facility becomes more central to the global shipping system. Every day, the case for concessions on tariffs, the IMO, Greenland, and the SHIPS Act becomes harder for Europe to refuse.
  • And what does the Navy get for playing along? Support for battleships and stronger allies willing to spend money building their own destroyers when it becomes clear to the world how weak their navies have become.
  • So What is  the endgame, its leverage. And you do not announce leverage. You apply it.
Source:  gcaptain.com 

Medical/False Flags

[DS] Agenda

Vance Confirms Ilhan Omar is Being Investigated for Immigration Fraud.

  • Vice President J.D. Vance confirmed the Trump administration and federal immigration agents are investigating Representative Ilhan Omar (D-MN) over allegations of immigration fraud. Speaking with social media personality Benny Johnson, the Vice President said he has spoken with White House Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy Stephen Miller on the matter, and that federal law enforcement believes the evidence of fraud is strong.
  • “We actually think that Ilhan Omar definitely committed immigration fraud against the United States of America,” Vance said. “I talked to Stephen Miller about this, actually, recently. We’re trying to look at what the remedies are, that’s the thing we’re trying to figure out.”
  • “What are the legal remedies now that we know that she’s committed immigration fraud? How do you go after her? How do you investigate her? How do you actually do the thing, how do you build the case necessary to get some justice for the American people?” Vance asked, while noting that Omar has also been connected to a number of members of Minnesota’s Somali immigrant community implicated in billions of dollars of social services fraud.

Source: thenationalpulse.com

President Trump’s Plan

done last night is a JOKE.” “I’m quite convinced that it can’t be that every Senate Republican read the language of this bill, and I’m going to just read you one excerpt of it, because it’s pretty alarming, and it says everything that you need to know.”

“In section four…this is on page two of the bill….” “It says, ‘The contents printed under the headings of this bill, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement and border security operations under the heading of US Customs and Border Patrol and Protection shall have no force or effect for purposes of this act and amounts specified in the final bill under the subheading border security operation, and under the heading U.S. Customs and Border Protection, and under the headings of US Immigration and Customs enforcement, in the Department of Homeland Security shall be…ZERO.’”

 

 something already signaled. Not to mention the giant scalp the left is taking here in proving they can scare Rs into abandoning ICE. OBB was a surge of money for a mission desperately needing scaling to meet the challenge of the amount of illegals, now they want to put its regular funding stream in perpetual question. 2- this would cause irreparable harm w/in ICE. It essentially would create two separate agencies. Allowing Congress to dictate how an agency’s resources can be operationally used in this way will set a horrible precedent. The litigation this opens up will be crippling, and the left is better situated with the judiciary and external litigation functions to make that happen. 3- it gives Democrats the major victory of essentially taking money from ICE out of OBB since regular funding in jeopardy moving forward. This will be a huge boon for their base turnout as compared to a Trump base that is frustrated on pace of deportations. It doesn’t “diffuse” as much as it rewards Democrats and RINOs. 4- “don’t talk about mass deportation” was the noise, this is the legislative signal 5- takes the wind out from the sails of the Save America Act by subjecting it to the same uncertainty of the reconciliation process. We need to keep Save America Act on floor not to run away from it. There is a reason why Democrats will like this.

 

 

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